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Houston Cougars v Baylor Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Cougars (Local)
Prediction 88.19%1.13fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -29.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.51%87.98%88.36%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.73%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baylor Bears (Visit)
Prediction 11.81%8.46fair odd
EV +6.33%
Edge +0.703%
Kelly +0.791%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.71%12.02%11.64%15.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.787.509.0016.67%12.86%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Cougars (Local): 88.19%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 11.81%. For Baylor Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.46. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +6.33%E +0.703%K +0.791%G +0.050% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +3.38%E +0.386%K +0.436%G +0.015% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +1.60%E +0.187%K +0.211%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.70%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.09%G +0.000% | 8.56I 11.68%NM 11.30%EV +1.13%E +0.132%K +0.150%G +0.002% | 3.4% | 2026-03-05 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +0.896%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +0.896%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +0.896%E +0.105%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.423%E +0.050%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.423%E +0.050%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +0.423%E +0.050%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.423%E +0.050%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +0.423%E +0.050%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -2.53%E -0.307%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -2.53%E -0.307%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -2.53%E -0.307%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.48%E -0.685%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.48%E -0.685%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.88%E -3.56%K -43.09%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.52%E -6.15%K -108.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.52%E -6.15%K -108.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -11.39%E -1.52%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -12.57%E -1.70%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.00%E -2.72%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -17.30%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.30%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.30%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.64%E -5.27%K -80.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.30%E -2.47%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-05 01:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -4.76%E -4.41%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -20.25%E -3.00%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.00%E -2.72%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -29.11%E -4.85%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 01:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 01:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79% | 1.9% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 02:05 |