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GW Revolutionaries v Dayton Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
GW Revolutionaries (Local)
Prediction 57.21%1.75fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.01%57.15%57.14%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.641.7262.50%60.64%60.98%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dayton Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 42.79%2.34fair odd
EV +0.554%
Edge +0.236%
Kelly +0.411%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.85%42.86%43.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3546.51%44.67%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GW Revolutionaries (Local): 57.21%; Dayton Flyers (Visit): 42.79%. For Dayton Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.554%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.554%E +0.236%K +0.411%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 23:52 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.01%E -0.879%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.75%E -4.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.15%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 17:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -5.44%E -2.46%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.60%E -0.929%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 17:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.75%E -4.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.75%E -4.14%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-02-27 23:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.98% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 23:54 |