A Escola das Odds

GW Revolutionaries v Dayton Flyers

Início: 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

GW Revolutionaries (Local)

Previsão 57.21%1.75odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.929%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.01%57.15%57.14%59.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.651.641.7262.50%60.64%60.98%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dayton Flyers (Visitante)

Previsão 42.79%2.34odd justa
EV +0.554%
Vantagem +0.236%
Kelly +0.411%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.81%42.85%42.86%43.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.242.252.3546.51%44.67%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.554%E +0.236%K +0.411%G +0.002%4.3%2026-02-27 23:52
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 23:54
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-27 21:24
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 21:24
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 21:24
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 21:24
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 21:24
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 21:24
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 21:25
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -1.59%E -0.689%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 21:24
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.01%E -0.879%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-27 23:54
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 18:54
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 23:54
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 17:14
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 23:54
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 20:29
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 23:54
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 23:54
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 23:54
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 21:24
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 23:54
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 21:24
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 21:24
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.75%E -4.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.72%E -1.66%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 21:24
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.89%E -2.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.15%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 23:54
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.15%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 23:54
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.31%E -1.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.01%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 17:14
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -5.44%E -2.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 22:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 20:59
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.32%E -4.52%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:54
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.89%E -4.90%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.86%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 23:54
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.60%E -0.929%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 23:34
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 17:29
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.75%E -4.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:54
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.75%E -4.14%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 23:54
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 23:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 23:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.46%E -2.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 23:54
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.60%E -3.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 23:54
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 23:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-02-27 23:04
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-02-27 23:54
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-02-27 23:54
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.98%1.4%2026-02-27 23:54
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%3.3%2026-02-27 23:54