The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Florida Gators v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 93.55%1.07fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -67.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.07%93.35%93.72%95.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.031.021.04100.00%97.55%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 6.45%15.51fair odd
EV +48.24%
Edge +2.10%
Kelly +2.19%
Growth +1.06%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.17%6.65%6.28%8.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5013.7014.0023.009.52%7.30%7.14%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 93.55%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 6.45%. For Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.51. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +48.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -6.45%E -6.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +48.24%E +2.10%K +2.19%G +1.06%4.3%2026-03-03 06:54
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -550.99%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.35%E +1.68%K +1.77%G +0.625%3.8%2026-03-03 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +22.46%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.280%3.3%2026-03-03 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.57%E +0.563%K +0.598%G +0.057%3.9%2026-03-03 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.57%E +0.563%K +0.598%G +0.057%3.9%2026-03-03 23:15
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.57%E +0.563%K +0.598%G +0.057%3.9%2026-03-03 23:15
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +6.35%E +0.385%K +0.410%G +0.026%4.1%2026-03-03 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +3.13%E +0.195%K +0.208%G +0.007%4.3%2026-03-04 00:10
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.32%E -0.221%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:25
Coral🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.32%E -0.221%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.32%E -0.221%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -6.54%E -0.451%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -8.15%E -0.572%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:15
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.21%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -550.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.21%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 23:20
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.66%E -1.89%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:34
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -550.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 23:15
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -550.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.64%E -3.53%K -121.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -32.32%E -3.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.03I 97.09%NM 97.49%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.51%-0.4%2026-03-04 00:50
Polymarket◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-03-04 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-03-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-03-03 23:00
Kalshi◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-03-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%2.2%2026-03-04 00:00
ProphetX◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%2.7%2026-03-04 00:50
Novig◎1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%3.0%2026-03-04 00:55