A Escola das Odds

Florida Gators v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Início: 2026-03-04 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Florida Gators (Local)

Previsão 93.55%1.07odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -2.60%
Kelly -67.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.07%93.35%93.72%95.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.031.021.04100.00%97.55%98.04%96.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visitante)

Previsão 6.45%15.51odd justa
EV +48.24%
Vantagem +2.10%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescimento +1.06%

pressupondo odds máximas de 23.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.17%6.65%6.28%8.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.5013.7014.0023.009.52%7.30%7.14%4.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -6.45%E -6.45%K +0.000%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +48.24%E +2.10%K +2.19%G +1.06%4.3%2026-03-03 06:54
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -550.99%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.35%E +1.68%K +1.77%G +0.625%3.8%2026-03-03 15:50
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +22.46%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.280%3.3%2026-03-03 23:10
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.57%E +0.563%K +0.598%G +0.057%3.9%2026-03-03 23:20
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.57%E +0.563%K +0.598%G +0.057%3.9%2026-03-03 23:15
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.57%E +0.563%K +0.598%G +0.057%3.9%2026-03-03 23:15
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +6.35%E +0.385%K +0.410%G +0.026%4.1%2026-03-03 23:15
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +3.13%E +0.195%K +0.208%G +0.007%4.3%2026-03-04 00:10
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.32%E -0.221%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:25
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.32%E -0.221%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.32%E -0.221%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 23:15
BetMGM1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -6.54%E -0.451%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 23:15
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV -8.15%E -0.572%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:15
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:20
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.76%E -0.697%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:15
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.21%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-03 23:10
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -550.99%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -16.21%E -1.25%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 23:20
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.57%E -4.48%K -228.72%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.66%E -1.89%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:39
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
ATG (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:39
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Svenska Spel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.70%E -2.60%K -67.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:34
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -550.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 23:15
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.51%E -5.46%K -550.99%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -29.10%E -2.65%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.64%E -3.53%K -121.29%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -32.32%E -3.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.03I 97.09%NM 97.49%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.51%-0.4%2026-03-04 00:50
Polymarket1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.67%0.8%2026-03-04 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-03-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-03-03 23:00
Kalshi1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-03-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.92%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.08%2.2%2026-03-04 00:00
ProphetX1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%2.7%2026-03-04 00:50
Novig1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%3.0%2026-03-04 00:55