Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 82.22%1.22fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -11.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.44%81.98%82.33%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.171.1989.29%86.28%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 17.78%5.63fair odd
EV +2.38%
Edge +0.414%
Kelly +0.501%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%18.02%17.67%21.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.135.055.7623.09%19.51%19.80%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 82.22%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 17.78%. For Kentucky Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.63. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +2.38%E +0.414%K +0.501%G +0.012%4.3%2026-03-13 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +2.38%E +0.414%K +0.501%G +0.012%4.3%2026-03-13 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.21%E +0.384%K +0.465%G +0.010%4.3%2026-03-13 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +2.21%E +0.384%K +0.465%G +0.010%5.1%2026-03-13 16:35
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.460%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 16:44
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.460%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 16:38
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -1.35%E -0.243%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 16:45
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:34
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:40
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.01%E -0.743%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 16:50
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.01%E -0.743%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:49
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.91%E -7.06%K -65.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:39
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.91%E -7.06%K -65.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:40
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -10.24%E -2.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.97%E -2.52%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 16:45
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:34
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:35
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -17.35%E -3.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:45
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -2.97%E -2.52%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -20.72%E -4.65%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -2.15%E -1.81%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -23.03%E -5.32%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 16:52
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-13 16:50
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-13 16:50
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21%1.1%2026-03-13 16:50
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-13 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-13 16:55
BetOpenly1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.96%2.6%2026-03-13 16:54