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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Florida Gators v Kentucky Wildcats

开赛时间： 2026-03-13 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Florida Gators (主队)

预测 82.22%1.22公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -1.81%
Kelly -11.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
78.44%81.98%82.33%83.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.161.171.1989.29%86.28%85.47%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kentucky Wildcats (客队)

预测 17.78%5.63公平赔率
EV +2.38%
优势 +0.414%
Kelly +0.501%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 5.76

博彩公司预测分布
16.55%18.02%17.67%21.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.335.135.055.7623.09%19.51%19.80%17.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Florida Gators (主队)：82.22%；Kentucky Wildcats (客队)：17.78%。 对于“Kentucky Wildcats (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.63。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.76，对应+2.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +2.38%E +0.414%K +0.501%G +0.012%4.3%2026-03-13 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +2.38%E +0.414%K +0.501%G +0.012%4.3%2026-03-13 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +2.21%E +0.384%K +0.465%G +0.010%4.3%2026-03-13 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +2.21%E +0.384%K +0.465%G +0.010%5.1%2026-03-13 16:35
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -0.460%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 16:44
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -0.460%E -0.082%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 16:38
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -1.35%E -0.243%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 16:45
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:34
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:40
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.24%E -0.407%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -4.01%E -0.743%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-13 16:50
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -4.01%E -0.743%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:49
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.62%E -3.98%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.91%E -7.06%K -65.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:39
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.91%E -7.06%K -65.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.68%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 16:40
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.44%E -4.73%K -36.28%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -10.24%E -2.03%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.97%E -2.52%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 16:45
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 16:44
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:34
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:35
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.26%E -5.49%K -44.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.12%E -2.22%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.68%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -15.57%E -3.28%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -16.46%E -3.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -3.80%E -3.25%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -17.35%E -3.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 16:45
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -2.97%E -2.52%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -20.72%E -4.65%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -2.15%E -1.81%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -23.03%E -5.32%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 16:52
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-13 16:50
Polymarket◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-13 16:50
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21%1.1%2026-03-13 16:50
ProphetX◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-13 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-13 16:55
BetOpenly◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.04%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.96%2.6%2026-03-13 16:54