Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duquesne Dukes v Davidson Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duquesne Dukes (Local)

Prediction 60.83%1.64fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%60.68%60.95%62.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.571.6165.79%63.93%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Davidson Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 39.17%2.55fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.712%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.20%39.32%39.05%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.6043.48%41.46%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duquesne Dukes (Local): 60.83%; Davidson Wildcats (Visit): 39.17%. For Davidson Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -6.33%E -4.11%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +1.85%E +0.712%K +1.16%G +0.021%3.4%2026-02-25 23:03
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.24%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 20:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 20:50
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.29%E -2.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:45
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:10
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.29%E -2.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:54
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:54
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-25 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 20:55
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 20:54
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 20:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 20:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:49
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.11%E -3.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 20:54
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.11%E -3.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 20:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.16%E -3.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 23:04
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.55%E -3.20%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 21:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:45
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.33%E -4.11%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-02-25 23:14
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-02-25 20:55
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-02-25 23:45
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-02-25 23:00
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-02-25 23:50