La escuela de los momios

Duquesne Dukes v Davidson Wildcats

Inicio: 2026-02-26 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Duquesne Dukes (Local)

Predicción 60.83%1.64momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -3.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.43%60.68%60.95%62.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.561.571.6165.79%63.93%63.69%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Davidson Wildcats (Visitante)

Predicción 39.17%2.55momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.712%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.20%39.32%39.05%40.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.412.402.6043.48%41.46%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -6.33%E -4.11%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +1.85%E +0.712%K +1.16%G +0.021%3.4%2026-02-25 23:03
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -3.24%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 23:00
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 20:54
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 20:50
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.29%E -2.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 20:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:50
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:45
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:45
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.03%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.29%E -2.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 20:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 20:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:55
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:54
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.81%E -1.98%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 20:54
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -5.20%E -2.15%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-25 20:50
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 20:55
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.89%E -2.46%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 20:54
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 20:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 20:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:49
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.54%E -4.96%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.98%E -2.49%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.11%E -3.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 20:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.11%E -3.28%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 20:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.77%E -2.84%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 23:50
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.16%E -3.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 23:04
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.55%E -3.20%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 21:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.72%E -3.69%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-25 22:45
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.33%E -4.11%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.94%E -3.38%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 20:59
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.50%E -2.87%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 20:54
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.90%E -4.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 20:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-02-25 23:14
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-02-25 20:55
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-02-25 23:45
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-02-25 23:00
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-02-25 23:50