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Duke Blue Devils v St. John's Red Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Duke Blue Devils (Local)
Prediction 70.99%1.41fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.93%71.03%70.97%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.341.341.3877.52%74.64%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. John's Red Storm (Visit)
Prediction 29.01%3.45fair odd
EV +0.655%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%28.97%29.03%30.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.203.4733.33%30.93%31.25%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 70.99%; St. John's Red Storm (Visit): 29.01%. For St. John's Red Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.655%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.655%E +0.189%K +0.265%G +0.002% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.38%E -0.405%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.38%E -0.405%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.38%E -0.405%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.38%E -0.405%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -1.96%E -0.579%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -1.96%E -0.579%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.12%E -0.933%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.12%E -0.933%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.31%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.00%E -5.34%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -7.76%E -2.44%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.29%E -4.76%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.76%E -2.44%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.29%E -4.76%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.29%E -4.76%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.42%E -6.53%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.89% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 27.11% | 1.6% | 2026-03-27 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82% | 4.8% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |