La escuela de los momios

Duke Blue Devils v St. John's Red Storm

Inicio: 2026-03-27 23:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Predicción 70.99%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -5.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.93%71.03%70.97%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.341.341.3877.52%74.64%74.63%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. John's Red Storm (Visitante)

Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV +0.655%
Ventaja +0.189%
Kelly +0.265%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%28.97%29.03%30.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.233.203.4733.33%30.93%31.25%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.84%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.16%EV +0.655%E +0.189%K +0.265%G +0.002%2.3%2026-03-27 23:09
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.38%E -0.405%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.38%E -0.405%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.38%E -0.405%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.38%E -0.405%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 23:09
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 71.46%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.54%EV -1.96%E -0.579%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 23:10
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -1.96%E -0.579%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.12%E -0.933%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:10
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.12%E -0.933%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:09
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:10
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:10
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -4.57%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 23:10
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 23:10
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:10
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 23:09
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.31%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:10
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:10
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:10
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:10
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:10
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:09
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.00%E -5.34%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:09
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -7.76%E -2.44%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.29%E -4.76%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.76%E -2.44%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:10
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:10
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:10
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:10
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.87%E -3.63%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:10
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.29%E -4.76%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:09
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.29%E -4.76%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 23:10
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-27 23:10
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.42%E -6.53%K -29.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-27 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-27 23:10
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-03-27 23:10
BetOpenly1.35I 74.07%NM 72.89%3.63I 27.55%NM 27.11%1.6%2026-03-27 23:09
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%4.8%2026-03-27 23:10