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DePaul Blue Demons v Villanova Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
DePaul Blue Demons (Local)
Prediction 44.93%2.23fair odd
EV +2.44%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.98%44.82%44.88%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.112.2851.28%47.50%47.39%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Villanova Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 55.07%1.82fair odd
EV -0.878%
Edge -0.488%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.99%55.18%55.12%58.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.731.8062.11%57.96%57.64%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: DePaul Blue Demons (Local): 44.93%; Villanova Wildcats (Visit): 55.07%. For DePaul Blue Demons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +2.44%E +1.07%K +1.91%G +0.047% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +1.10%E +0.488%K +0.878%G +0.010% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.94%E -4.10%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -0.700%E -0.317%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -11.34%E -7.04%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.15%E -0.523%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.15%E -0.523%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.05%E -0.940%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.49%E -4.46%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 00:57 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -8.59%E -5.17%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 00:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.38%E -3.76%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.878%E -0.488%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -9.24%E -4.57%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -12.38%E -6.35%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -12.38%E -6.35%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36% | 3.2% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 00:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 01:00 |