L’École des cotes

DePaul Blue Demons v Villanova Wildcats

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 01:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

DePaul Blue Demons (Local)

Prévision 44.93%2.23cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.91%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.98%44.82%44.88%47.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.112.112.2851.28%47.50%47.39%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Villanova Wildcats (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.07%1.82cote équitable
EV -0.878%
Avantage -0.488%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.99%55.18%55.12%58.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.731.731.8062.11%57.96%57.64%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +2.44%E +1.07%K +1.91%G +0.047%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 01:00
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +1.10%E +0.488%K +0.878%G +0.010%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.94%E -4.10%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-05 01:00
SportsBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -0.700%E -0.317%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -11.34%E -7.04%K -18.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 01:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.15%E -0.523%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.15%E -0.523%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:59
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.05%E -0.940%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.49%E -4.46%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:59
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:59
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 01:00
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:57
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:59
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:59
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 01:00
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -4.29%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -8.59%E -5.17%K -13.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:59
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:59
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:00
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.74%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 01:00
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:56
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 01:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 01:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 01:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 01:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.64%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 01:00
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.54%E -3.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.38%E -3.76%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.878%E -0.488%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 01:00
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -9.24%E -4.57%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -1.98%E -1.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 01:00
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:59
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 00:59
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -12.38%E -6.35%K -13.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -12.38%E -6.35%K -13.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-05 01:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%3.2%2026-03-05 01:00
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%3.3%2026-03-05 00:59
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%4.1%2026-03-05 01:00
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%4.7%2026-03-05 01:00