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Denver Pioneers v St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Pioneers (Local)
Prediction 38.95%2.57fair odd
EV -0.688%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.88%38.98%39.01%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.46%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Visit)
Prediction 61.05%1.64fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.18%61.02%60.99%62.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6066.67%63.89%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Pioneers (Local): 38.95%; St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Visit): 61.05%. For Denver Pioneers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.688%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.688%E -0.270%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 22:27 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.64%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.64%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.92%E -1.84%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.92%E -1.84%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.98%E -3.88%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.92%E -1.84%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 20:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.37%E -3.46%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.84%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 20:47 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 22:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 20:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -9.65%E -4.16%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |