L’École des cotes

Denver Pioneers v St. Thomas (MN) Tommies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Denver Pioneers (Local)

Prévision 38.95%2.57cote équitable
EV -0.688%
Avantage -0.270%
Kelly -0.444%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.88%38.98%39.01%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.46%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.05%1.64cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.18%61.02%60.99%62.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6066.67%63.89%63.69%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.688%E -0.270%K -0.444%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 22:27
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.64%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 21:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.64%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 20:44
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.92%E -1.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 20:45
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.92%E -1.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 20:45
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.03%E -1.21%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 21:45
FanDuel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.98%E -3.88%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:50
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.92%E -1.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 20:48
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.37%E -3.46%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:45
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -4.19%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 22:50
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:45
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:49
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:50
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 21:00
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.84%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:47
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 20:45
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 20:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 22:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 22:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 22:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 21:30
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:49
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 21:00
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:45
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:45
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:45
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:45
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:45
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:45
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:50
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:45
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:45
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:44
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.26%E -3.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 22:45
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -9.65%E -4.16%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -2.31%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 22:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%-0.1%2026-02-21 22:10
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-02-21 20:50
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-02-21 22:10
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%2.4%2026-02-21 22:50
ProphetX2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-02-21 21:30