Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats v Loyola (Chi) Ramblers

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 23:43 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Davidson Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 68.18%1.47fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.62%68.12%68.21%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4375.19%72.03%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Visit)

Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV +11.37%
Edge +3.25%
Kelly +4.55%
Growth +0.517%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%31.88%31.79%34.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.712.983.003.5036.90%33.53%33.33%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Davidson Wildcats (Local): 68.18%; Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Visit): 31.82%. For Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -9.32%E -7.01%K -28.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +11.37%E +3.25%K +4.55%G +0.517%3.8%2026-03-12 23:31
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.82%E +0.569%K +0.828%G +0.015%4.8%2026-03-12 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.231%E +0.073%K +0.107%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.231%E +0.073%K +0.107%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:39
Everygame🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.87%E -2.74%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:50
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.87%E -2.74%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.87%E -2.74%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.91%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 21:40
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:30
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:40
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:45
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:45
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.86%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:29
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.86%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -6.45%E -2.19%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 21:45
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 21:45
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 23:24
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 22:40
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:00
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 21:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -13.77%E -5.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 68.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.82%-0.2%2026-03-12 23:20
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-12 23:40
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-12 23:35
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%3.4%2026-03-12 23:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-03-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-03-12 23:40
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%4.9%2026-03-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.06%9.8%2026-03-12 23:40