La escuela de los momios

Davidson Wildcats v Loyola (Chi) Ramblers

Inicio: 2026-03-12 23:43 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Davidson Wildcats (Local)

Predicción 68.18%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -5.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.62%68.12%68.21%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.4375.19%72.03%71.43%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Loyola (Chi) Ramblers (Visitante)

Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV +11.37%
Ventaja +3.25%
Kelly +4.55%
Crecimiento +0.517%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.54%31.88%31.79%34.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.712.983.003.5036.90%33.53%33.33%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -9.32%E -7.01%K -28.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +11.37%E +3.25%K +4.55%G +0.517%3.8%2026-03-12 23:31
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.82%E +0.569%K +0.828%G +0.015%4.8%2026-03-12 23:39
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.231%E +0.073%K +0.107%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +0.231%E +0.073%K +0.107%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:39
Everygame1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.87%E -2.74%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 21:45
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 22:50
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 21:40
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.87%E -2.74%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:15
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.87%E -2.74%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:15
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.91%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 21:40
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:30
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:30
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:29
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:29
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:30
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:15
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:40
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 21:40
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:45
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:45
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:45
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:45
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.86%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:29
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.86%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 21:40
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -2.50%E -1.75%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57%EV -5.81%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 23:29
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:30
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 22:00
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -6.45%E -2.19%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 23:10
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 21:45
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 21:45
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 23:24
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 22:40
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 23:29
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:00
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 22:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 21:45
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -13.77%E -5.08%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 21:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 68.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.82%-0.2%2026-03-12 23:20
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-12 23:40
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-12 23:35
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.60%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%3.4%2026-03-12 23:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-03-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-03-12 23:40
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%4.9%2026-03-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.06%9.8%2026-03-12 23:40