Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colgate Raiders v Lafayette Leopards

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colgate Raiders (Local)

Prediction 77.92%1.28fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -10.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.54%77.73%77.90%79.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.98%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lafayette Leopards (Visit)

Prediction 22.08%4.53fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.341%
Kelly +0.436%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%22.27%22.10%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.664.214.304.6027.32%23.73%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colgate Raiders (Local): 77.92%; Lafayette Leopards (Visit): 22.08%. For Lafayette Leopards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.57%E +0.341%K +0.436%G +0.007%4.4%2026-02-25 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.57%E +0.341%K +0.436%G +0.007%5.1%2026-02-25 22:54
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 20:54
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 20:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.39%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 23:49
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:49
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:49
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:50
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.16%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:44
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.04%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96%EV -8.14%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 23:15
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.37%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 23:03
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 23:54
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:55
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 23:40
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 23:55
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 23:54
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:44
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 23:50
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.73%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.27%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 23:54
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -14.99%E -3.89%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 23:45
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.09%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.09%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV -19.19%E -5.24%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%0.1%2026-02-25 23:54
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-02-25 23:15
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-02-25 23:55
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-02-25 22:55
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%2.6%2026-02-25 23:54