La escuela de los momios

Colgate Raiders v Lafayette Leopards

Inicio: 2026-02-26 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Colgate Raiders (Local)

Predicción 77.92%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -10.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.54%77.73%77.90%79.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.98%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lafayette Leopards (Visitante)

Predicción 22.08%4.53momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.341%
Kelly +0.436%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.69%22.27%22.10%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.664.214.304.6027.32%23.73%23.26%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +1.57%E +0.341%K +0.436%G +0.007%4.4%2026-02-25 20:50
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.57%E +0.341%K +0.436%G +0.007%5.1%2026-02-25 22:54
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 20:54
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 20:49
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 20:50
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.637%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.39%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 23:49
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:49
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:50
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:49
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:49
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:49
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:50
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:44
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:44
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 23:25
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.16%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:44
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.04%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.96%EV -8.14%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 23:15
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -8.37%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 23:03
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 23:45
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 23:54
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:55
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 23:45
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.47%E -2.31%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 23:40
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 23:55
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.38%E -2.73%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 23:54
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:44
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.50%E -5.41%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.68%E -2.92%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 23:50
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.73%EV -5.72%E -4.73%K -27.23%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.27%EV -11.90%E -2.98%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 23:54
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -14.99%E -3.89%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 23:45
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.09%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.94%E -4.05%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -16.09%E -4.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 23:54
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -2.60%E -2.08%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV -19.19%E -5.24%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 23:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%0.1%2026-02-25 23:54
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-02-25 23:15
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-02-25 23:55
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-02-25 22:55
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.22%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.78%2.6%2026-02-25 23:54