Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chattanooga Mocs v VMI Keydets

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chattanooga Mocs (Local)

Prediction 84.73%1.18fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -17.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.17%84.62%84.69%85.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.41%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VMI Keydets (Visit)

Prediction 15.27%6.55fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.400%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 6.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.21%15.38%15.31%17.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.305.875.806.7018.87%17.05%17.24%14.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chattanooga Mocs (Local): 84.73%; VMI Keydets (Visit): 15.27%. For VMI Keydets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.28%E +0.340%K +0.400%G +0.009%5.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.774%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.774%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:54
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.774%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.774%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.97%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.03%EV -2.45%E -0.384%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.59%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.41%EV -4.44%E -0.709%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.59%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.41%EV -4.44%E -0.709%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -4.59%E -0.735%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.59%E -0.735%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 17:18
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.59%E -0.735%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 18:24
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.59%E -0.735%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:19
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 10:39
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 18:25
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -11.46%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.22%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 01:59
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.22%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 01:59
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.22%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.22%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.04%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:15
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.04%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 16:55
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -19.09%E -3.60%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -19.09%E -3.60%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-02-28 17:34
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-02-28 18:30
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%2.7%2026-02-28 18:44
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-02-28 18:54