L’École des cotes

Chattanooga Mocs v VMI Keydets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chattanooga Mocs (Local)

Prévision 84.73%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -17.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.17%84.62%84.69%85.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.41%88.50%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VMI Keydets (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.27%6.55cote équitable
EV +2.28%
Avantage +0.340%
Kelly +0.400%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 6.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.21%15.38%15.31%17.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.305.875.806.7018.87%17.05%17.24%14.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.28%E +0.340%K +0.400%G +0.009%5.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.774%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.774%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:54
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -0.774%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 13:05
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.774%E -0.119%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 13:50
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 84.97%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 15.03%EV -2.45%E -0.384%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.59%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.41%EV -4.44%E -0.709%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:00
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 84.59%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.41%EV -4.44%E -0.709%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -4.59%E -0.735%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 15:00
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.59%E -0.735%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 17:18
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -4.59%E -0.735%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 18:24
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.59%E -0.735%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:41
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.25%E -3.76%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:19
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.10%E -4.55%K -42.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 10:39
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.79%E -6.17%K -67.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.41%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 18:25
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -11.46%E -1.98%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 18:29
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.22%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 01:59
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.22%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 01:59
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.22%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.94%E -5.36%K -54.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -12.22%E -2.13%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.04%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:15
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.04%E -2.92%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 15:00
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:35
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 16:55
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -17.57%E -3.25%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 18:34
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -2.56%E -2.22%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -19.09%E -3.60%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.40%E -2.98%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -19.09%E -3.60%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-02-28 17:34
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-02-28 18:30
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%2.7%2026-02-28 18:44
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-02-28 18:54