Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers v East Carolina Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 63.89%1.57fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.86%63.86%63.86%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.491.5371.43%67.25%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

East Carolina Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 36.11%2.77fair odd
EV -0.693%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.396%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%36.14%36.14%38.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.652.7541.67%38.15%37.81%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 63.89%; East Carolina Pirates (Visit): 36.11%. For East Carolina Pirates (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.693%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 16:35
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:55
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.66%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 16:35
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.693%E -0.252%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 16:40
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.50%E -0.925%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:43
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -2.14%E -0.789%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:45
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.78%E -0.653%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 16:45
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 16:55
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:40
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:40
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.75%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:45
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -3.94%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 16:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.56%E -7.54%K -26.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.693%E -0.252%K -0.396%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-02-21 16:50
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-02-21 16:55
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-02-21 16:50
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-02-21 16:45