La escuela de los momios

Charlotte 49ers v East Carolina Pirates

Inicio: 2026-02-21 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Predicción 63.89%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.86%63.86%63.86%66.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.491.5371.43%67.25%67.11%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

East Carolina Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 36.11%2.77momio equitativo
EV -0.693%
Ventaja -0.252%
Kelly -0.396%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%36.14%36.14%38.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.652.7541.67%38.15%37.81%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 16:35
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 16:35
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 16:34
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 16:35
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.25%E -1.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:55
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.89%E -1.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.72%E -3.89%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:55
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.66%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 16:35
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.53%E -2.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:35
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.693%E -0.252%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 16:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.50%E -0.925%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 16:50
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:35
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:43
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.17%E -2.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:40
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -2.14%E -0.789%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:45
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:45
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.81%E -3.23%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:45
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.78%E -0.653%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 16:45
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.03%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 16:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.45%E -3.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.33%E -5.55%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 16:55
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:40
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.30%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 16:40
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:45
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.08%E -4.14%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:40
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.39%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:40
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.75%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:55
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:45
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.08%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.91%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 16:45
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -3.94%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.00%E -5.56%K -18.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.11%E -2.35%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 16:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.56%E -7.54%K -26.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.693%E -0.252%K -0.396%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-02-21 16:50
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-02-21 16:55
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-02-21 16:50
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%2.1%2026-02-21 16:45