Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Connecticut St Blue Devils v Mercyhurst Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 62.16%1.61fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.97%62.13%62.25%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.521.501.5767.57%65.95%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 37.84%2.64fair odd
EV +0.287%
Edge +0.108%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.87%37.75%39.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.532.542.6541.84%39.52%39.45%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Local): 62.16%; Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit): 37.84%. For Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.287%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.287%E +0.108%K +0.174%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:49
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.61%E -0.617%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 18:15
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.36%E -0.915%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:15
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:49
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 18:15
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.39%E -4.96%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 23:49
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 21:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:15
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.42%E -1.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.25%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.42%E -1.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.25%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 21:46
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.42%E -1.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 23:19
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 23:19
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:20
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 23:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 23:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 23:24
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 18:19
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -5.77%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:39
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:19
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 18:15
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:14
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:14
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:14
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -9.55%E -4.00%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-02-26 23:55
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-02-26 18:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-02-26 23:09
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-02-26 23:54
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-02-26 23:54