La escuela de los momios

Central Connecticut St Blue Devils v Mercyhurst Lakers

Inicio: 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (Local)

Predicción 62.16%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -4.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.97%62.13%62.25%63.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.521.501.5767.57%65.95%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mercyhurst Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 37.84%2.64momio equitativo
EV +0.287%
Ventaja +0.108%
Kelly +0.174%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%37.87%37.75%39.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.392.532.542.6541.84%39.52%39.45%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.287%E +0.108%K +0.174%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 23:49
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.470%E -0.179%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:49
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.61%E -0.617%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 18:15
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.36%E -0.915%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 17:15
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:49
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 18:15
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:50
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.39%E -4.96%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 23:49
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 21:29
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 21:15
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.42%E -1.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.25%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 21:29
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.42%E -1.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.25%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 21:46
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.42%E -1.54%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 23:19
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.04%E -1.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 23:19
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:20
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:20
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 23:24
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 23:24
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 23:24
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 18:19
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -5.77%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:39
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.66%E -2.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.90%E -2.81%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:19
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 18:15
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:14
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:14
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 23:14
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 17:20
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -9.55%E -4.00%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 23:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-02-26 23:55
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-02-26 18:50
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-02-26 23:09
ProphetX1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-02-26 23:54
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-02-26 23:54