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Central Arkansas Bears v Bellarmine Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Central Arkansas Bears (Local)
Prediction 73.38%1.36fair odd
EV -0.938%
Edge -0.695%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.45%73.20%73.26%75.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.301.3579.37%76.94%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bellarmine Knights (Visit)
Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +0.714%
Kelly +0.964%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%26.80%26.74%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.553.8632.26%28.55%28.17%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Arkansas Bears (Local): 73.38%; Bellarmine Knights (Visit): 26.62%. For Bellarmine Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV +2.76%E +0.714%K +0.964%G +0.027% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.16%E +0.305%K +0.414%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.16%E +0.305%K +0.414%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.16%E +0.305%K +0.414%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.54%E -5.99%K -29.01%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -0.970%E -0.261%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.50%E -0.406%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.50%E -0.406%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 16:42 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.50%E -0.406%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.83%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.41%E -1.81%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.07%E -4.75%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.07%E -4.75%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -11.62%E -3.50%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.41%E -1.81%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.41%E -1.81%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -0.938%E -0.695%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -15.35%E -4.83%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -17.48%E -5.64%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.19% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.81% | -0.2% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 16:50 |