L’École des cotes

Central Arkansas Bears v Bellarmine Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Central Arkansas Bears (Local)

Prévision 73.38%1.36cote équitable
EV -0.938%
Avantage -0.695%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.45%73.20%73.26%75.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.301.301.3579.37%76.94%76.92%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bellarmine Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.62%3.76cote équitable
EV +2.76%
Avantage +0.714%
Kelly +0.964%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%26.80%26.74%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.553.8632.26%28.55%28.17%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.22%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV +2.76%E +0.714%K +0.964%G +0.027%4.6%2026-03-06 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.16%E +0.305%K +0.414%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-06 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.16%E +0.305%K +0.414%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-06 16:50
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +1.16%E +0.305%K +0.414%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-06 16:50
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.54%E -5.99%K -29.01%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -0.970%E -0.261%K -0.357%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 16:25
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.50%E -0.406%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 16:45
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.50%E -0.406%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 16:42
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.50%E -0.406%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 16:44
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.83%E -0.776%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 16:45
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 16:55
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 16:10
Everygame1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.16%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 16:55
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 16:10
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:55
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 16:45
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.81%E -5.36%K -25.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 16:50
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.87%E -2.96%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.16%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 16:50
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.41%E -1.81%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 16:55
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 16:10
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 16:54
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.07%E -4.75%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 16:50
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.07%E -4.75%K -21.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 16:10
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.34%E -4.14%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.82%E -3.23%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 16:55
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -11.62%E -3.50%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 16:55
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.41%E -1.81%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.41%E -1.81%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 16:55
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.15%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 16:55
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -0.938%E -0.695%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -13.48%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 16:55
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -14.81%E -4.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 16:45
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -3.14%E -2.38%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -15.35%E -4.83%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -4.61%E -3.54%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -17.48%E -5.64%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.35I 74.07%NM 74.19%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.81%-0.2%2026-03-06 16:55
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-06 16:50
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-06 16:55
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-03-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.0%2026-03-06 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%3.6%2026-03-06 16:55
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%3.9%2026-03-06 16:50