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Cal Poly Mustangs v Long Beach St 49ers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)
Prediction 67.68%1.48fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -7.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%67.81%67.87%69.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4374.07%71.49%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Long Beach St 49ers (Visit)
Prediction 32.32%3.09fair odd
EV +0.186%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.68%32.19%32.13%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.00%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Poly Mustangs (Local): 67.68%; Long Beach St 49ers (Visit): 32.32%. For Long Beach St 49ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.186%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.186%E +0.060%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 02:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.186%E +0.060%K +0.089%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-27 02:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.43%E -0.469%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 02:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.43%E -0.469%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 02:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 02:38 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 02:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 02:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 02:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 02:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 02:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-27 01:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -7.28%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -3.37%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.22%E -2.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 02:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 02:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 02:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 02:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 02:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.28%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.28%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.22%E -2.25%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 02:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 01:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 02:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.12%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.12%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.12%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-27 02:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 70.08% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.92% | -0.2% | 2026-02-27 02:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 02:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-02-27 02:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36% | 1.9% | 2026-02-27 02:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-02-27 01:39 |