A Escola das Odds

Cal Poly Mustangs v Long Beach St 49ers

Início: 2026-02-27 03:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cal Poly Mustangs (Local)

Previsão 67.68%1.48odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -2.25%
Kelly -7.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.95%67.81%67.87%69.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.351.401.401.4374.07%71.49%71.43%69.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Long Beach St 49ers (Visitante)

Previsão 32.32%3.09odd justa
EV +0.186%
Vantagem +0.060%
Kelly +0.089%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.68%32.19%32.13%34.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.942.953.1036.36%34.00%33.90%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.186%E +0.060%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:35
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.186%E +0.060%K +0.089%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 02:49
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.43%E -0.469%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 02:34
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.43%E -0.469%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 02:54
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 02:38
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 02:35
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 02:34
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 02:34
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 02:55
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 02:49
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:10
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:10
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:10
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:09
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:10
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 01:09
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -7.28%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -3.37%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 23:04
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.22%E -2.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 02:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 02:34
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 02:34
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:34
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 02:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 02:54
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.28%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 13:55
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.28%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 13:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 16:20
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 01:10
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.92%E -2.40%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 01:10
TAB1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.22%E -2.25%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-27 02:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 01:10
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.25%E -3.75%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 01:10
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.89%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 02:35
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.12%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 18:55
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.12%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 02:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.12%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 02:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 70.08%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.92%-0.2%2026-02-27 02:49
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-02-27 02:54
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-02-27 02:39
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.64%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.36%1.9%2026-02-27 02:34
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-02-27 01:39