Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Baptist Lancers v UT-Arlington Mavericks

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cal Baptist Lancers (Local)

Prediction 70.63%1.42fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -8.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.75%70.64%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.65%74.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 29.37%3.41fair odd
EV -0.159%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.066%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%29.25%29.36%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.263.4033.33%30.82%30.67%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cal Baptist Lancers (Local): 70.63%; UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit): 29.37%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.159%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -3.23%E -2.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:09
TAB🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.23%E -2.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 13:50
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 20:14
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 12:10
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 01:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 12:15
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 12:09
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 23:24
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.44%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 12:13
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 02:49
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.159%E -0.047%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 02:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 18:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 02:40
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 02:55
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 02:39
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 02:40
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 18:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.37%3.49I 28.65%NM 28.63%0.1%2026-02-27 02:55
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-02-27 02:34
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-02-27 02:54
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-02-27 02:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-02-27 02:55