L’École des cotes

Cal Baptist Lancers v UT-Arlington Mavericks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cal Baptist Lancers (Local)

Prévision 70.63%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -8.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%70.75%70.64%71.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.341.3776.92%74.65%74.63%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.37%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.159%
Avantage -0.047%
Kelly -0.066%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%29.25%29.36%31.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.263.4033.33%30.82%30.67%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -3.23%E -2.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 02:09
TAB1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.23%E -2.36%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 13:50
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 20:14
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 12:10
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 01:54
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.44%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 12:15
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 12:09
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 23:24
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.44%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 12:13
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.94%E -2.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 16:15
FanDuel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 02:49
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.64%E -3.44%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:00
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:55
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:55
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:55
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 02:54
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.35%E -3.99%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -5.15%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:30
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.159%E -0.047%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:50
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 02:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 18:00
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.10%E -0.938%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 18:00
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 14:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 02:40
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 16:20
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.06%E -4.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 02:55
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 02:39
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 18:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.76%E -5.12%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 02:40
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.47%E -5.70%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -4.27%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 18:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.17%E -6.29%K -27.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-26 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 71.37%3.49I 28.65%NM 28.63%0.1%2026-02-27 02:55
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-02-27 02:34
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-02-27 02:54
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-02-27 02:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-02-27 02:55