Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bowling Green Falcons (Local): 62.47%; Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit): 37.53%. For Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.33%E +0.492%K +0.782%G +0.010% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.547%E -0.206%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.547%E -0.206%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.30%E -0.493%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.42%E -0.932%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 18:41 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.42%E -0.932%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.04%E -3.32%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.42%E -0.932%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.92%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.68%E -1.84%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.54%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -4.68%E -1.84%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.55%E -1.63%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.67%E -3.75%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:48 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -6.93%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.67%E -3.75%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -11.06%E -4.66%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -11.06%E -4.66%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 18:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |