L’École des cotes

Bowling Green Falcons v Massachusetts Minutemen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bowling Green Falcons (Local)

Prévision 62.47%1.60cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.24%62.51%62.44%64.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.531.5668.03%65.56%65.36%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Massachusetts Minutemen (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.53%2.66cote équitable
EV +1.33%
Avantage +0.492%
Kelly +0.782%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.71%37.49%37.56%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.522.502.7042.19%39.72%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.33%E +0.492%K +0.782%G +0.010%3.7%2026-02-28 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.547%E -0.206%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 17:39
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.547%E -0.206%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 17:39
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.30%E -0.493%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.42%E -0.932%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 18:41
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.42%E -0.932%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 18:14
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.04%E -3.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.42%E -0.932%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:39
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:13
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.92%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 18:04
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:04
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:39
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.68%E -1.84%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 18:04
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -7.54%E -5.10%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -4.68%E -1.84%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:39
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.55%E -1.63%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 18:09
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:40
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.80%E -2.46%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:40
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:14
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.67%E -3.75%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:45
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:48
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -6.93%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 17:39
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.67%E -3.75%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:39
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:49
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:49
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 18:14
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -11.06%E -4.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -6.29%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -11.06%E -4.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-02-28 18:04
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-02-28 18:49
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.95%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.05%1.8%2026-02-28 18:04
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-02-28 18:44