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Army Knights v Navy Midshipmen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Army Knights (Local)
Prediction 23.71%4.22fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.615%
Kelly +0.800%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%23.71%23.81%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.953.954.3327.03%25.30%25.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Navy Midshipmen (Visit)
Prediction 76.29%1.31fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -8.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.30%76.29%76.19%78.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.20%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Army Knights (Local): 23.71%; Navy Midshipmen (Visit): 76.29%. For Army Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +2.66%E +0.615%K +0.800%G +0.021% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.768%E +0.181%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.768%E +0.181%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.417%E -0.099%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -1.60%E -0.386%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -1.60%E -0.386%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.680%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 18:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.45%E -7.04%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.45%E -7.04%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 17:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -11.80%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -3.87%E -3.08%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.27%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.84%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.92I 20.33%NM 20.39% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.61% | -0.3% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.34% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.66% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89% | 1.9% | 2026-02-21 18:20 |