L’École des cotes

Army Knights v Navy Midshipmen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Army Knights (Local)

Prévision 23.71%4.22cote équitable
EV +2.66%
Avantage +0.615%
Kelly +0.800%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.98%23.71%23.81%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.953.954.3327.03%25.30%25.32%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Navy Midshipmen (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.29%1.31cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -8.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.30%76.29%76.19%78.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.2883.33%80.20%80.00%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +2.66%E +0.615%K +0.800%G +0.021%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.768%E +0.181%K +0.236%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:25
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.768%E +0.181%K +0.236%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 18:25
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.417%E -0.099%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 16:59
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -1.60%E -0.386%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:25
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -1.60%E -0.386%K -0.509%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.40%E -4.36%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:24
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.79%E -0.680%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 17:30
Pinnacle4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -4.69%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:19
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:05
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:05
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:05
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 18:18
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:20
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.45%E -7.04%K -42.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:25
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.16%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.45%E -7.04%K -42.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:25
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:20
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:15
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:20
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Fliff3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.53%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:25
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.72%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.93%E -5.68%K -31.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:40
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.64%E -3.71%K -18.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:15
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -9.90%E -2.61%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.16%E -5.01%K -26.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 17:14
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:19
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -11.09%E -2.96%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.11%E -2.45%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:15
1xBet3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -11.80%E -3.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -3.87%E -3.08%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:00
TAB3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -12.27%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.35%E -1.84%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly4.92I 20.33%NM 20.39%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.61%-0.3%2026-02-21 18:25
ProphetX4.45I 22.47%NM 22.34%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.66%0.6%2026-02-21 18:25
Polymarket4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-02-21 17:50
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 22.11%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.89%1.9%2026-02-21 18:20