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Arkansas Razorbacks v Ole Miss Rebels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)
Prediction 77.10%1.30fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -7.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.75%76.98%77.21%78.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.52%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)
Prediction 22.90%4.37fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.428%
Kelly +0.552%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%23.02%22.79%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.053.954.4527.03%24.70%25.32%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas Razorbacks (Local): 77.10%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 22.90%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +1.90%E +0.428%K +0.552%G +0.011% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 19:42 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV +1.68%E +0.377%K +0.487%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV +1.68%E +0.377%K +0.487%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.385%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.68%E -0.630%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.08%E -1.64%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.08%E -1.64%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.27%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |