L’École des cotes

Arkansas Razorbacks v Ole Miss Rebels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 19:55 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arkansas Razorbacks (Local)

Prévision 77.10%1.30cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -7.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.75%76.98%77.21%78.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.251.2783.33%80.52%80.00%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ole Miss Rebels (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.90%4.37cote équitable
EV +1.90%
Avantage +0.428%
Kelly +0.552%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.52%23.02%22.79%25.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.053.954.4527.03%24.70%25.32%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +1.90%E +0.428%K +0.552%G +0.011%4.4%2026-03-14 19:42
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV +1.68%E +0.377%K +0.487%G +0.008%3.8%2026-03-14 19:45
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV +1.68%E +0.377%K +0.487%G +0.008%3.8%2026-03-14 19:44
Everygame1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.385%E -0.089%K -0.115%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:44
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:45
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 19:44
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:45
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.53%E -0.356%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:40
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.68%E -0.630%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 19:45
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:44
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.82%E -0.910%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:44
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.11%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 19:45
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.08%E -1.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:44
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:45
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:44
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.40%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:45
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
Fliff1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.17%E -4.20%K -22.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:44
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.69%E -2.74%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 19:45
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.08%E -1.64%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:45
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:45
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.84%E -3.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:45
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.98%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:45
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.27%E -4.13%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-14 19:45
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-03-14 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-03-14 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-03-14 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-03-14 19:45
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%3.8%2026-03-14 19:45
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%4.1%2026-03-14 19:45