Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans v SE Louisiana Lions

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 01:04 UTC

Final: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans 79–83 SE Louisiana Lions

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local)

Prediction 78.89%1.27fair odd

EV -2.17%

Edge -1.75%

Kelly -9.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.35%78.95%79.09%81.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.201.201.2487.72%83.51%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SE Louisiana Lions (Visit)

Prediction 21.11%4.74fair odd

EV +9.76%

Edge +1.88%

Kelly +2.32%

Growth +0.227%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.37%21.05%20.91%22.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.104.474.355.2024.39%22.39%22.99%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local): 78.89%; SE Louisiana Lions (Visit): 21.11%. For SE Louisiana Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +9.76%E +1.88%K +2.32%G +0.227%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:45
1xBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.06%E -8.83%K -71.88%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +5.54%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.077%	7.7%	2026-11-08 00:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.06%E -8.83%K -71.88%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +5.54%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.077%	7.7%	2026-11-08 00:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.32%E +0.275%K +0.347%G +0.005%	5.6%	2026-11-07 16:00
SportsBet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -8.49%E -7.32%K -53.03%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +1.32%E +0.275%K +0.347%G +0.005%	7.0%	2026-11-08 00:45
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.791%E -0.168%K -0.214%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-07 20:00
Fanatics🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-07 21:55
Bet Right🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-07 21:55
BetMGM🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.12%E -5.14%K -32.20%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-08 01:00
Pinnacle🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.05%G +0.000%	4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -3.11%E -0.678%K -0.867%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 00:55
picklebet_au🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.05%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:05
Neds🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-07 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-07 16:00
888sport🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 16:15
Coral🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-07 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-07 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
BetRivers🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
Unibet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
betPARX🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:45
TABtouch🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.17%E -1.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.23%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-08 01:00
TAB🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.05%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.23%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 01:00
Caesars🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -2.96%E -2.41%K -12.88%G +0.000%	4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -9.66%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-08 00:45
Betsson🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.12%E -5.14%K -32.20%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-07 22:05
NordicBet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.12%E -5.14%K -32.20%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-08 00:00
Bovada🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.96%E -2.41%K -12.88%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 00:59
Everygame🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.05%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-08 00:57
BoyleSports🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 14:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.24I 80.65%NM 81.18%	5.35I 18.69%NM 18.82%	-0.7%	2026-11-08 00:59
Kalshi◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%	4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%	1.0%	2026-11-08 01:00
Polymarket◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%	4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%	2.3%	2026-11-08 01:00
ProphetX◎	1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%	2.4%	2026-11-08 01:00
Novig◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%	4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%	3.8%	2026-11-08 01:00

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