默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans v SE Louisiana Lions

开赛时间： 2026-11-08 01:04 UTC

最终结果： Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans 79–83 SE Louisiana Lions

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

79%

21%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (主队)

预测 78.89%1.27公平赔率

EV -2.17%

优势 -1.75%

Kelly -9.06%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.24

博彩公司预测分布

77.35%78.95%79.09%81.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.141.201.201.2487.72%83.51%83.33%80.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

SE Louisiana Lions (客队)

预测 21.11%4.74公平赔率

EV +9.76%

优势 +1.88%

Kelly +2.32%

增长率 +0.227%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布

18.37%21.05%20.91%22.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.104.474.355.2024.39%22.39%22.99%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (主队)：78.89%；SE Louisiana Lions (客队)：21.11%。对于“SE Louisiana Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.74。当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.20，对应+9.76%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
FanDuel🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +9.76%E +1.88%K +2.32%G +0.227%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:45
1xBet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.06%E -8.83%K -71.88%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +5.54%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.077%	7.7%	2026-11-08 00:45
Paddy Power🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.06%E -8.83%K -71.88%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +5.54%E +1.11%K +1.39%G +0.077%	7.7%	2026-11-08 00:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.32%E +0.275%K +0.347%G +0.005%	5.6%	2026-11-07 16:00
SportsBet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -8.49%E -7.32%K -53.03%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +1.32%E +0.275%K +0.347%G +0.005%	7.0%	2026-11-08 00:45
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.791%E -0.168%K -0.214%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-07 20:00
Fanatics🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-07 21:55
Bet Right🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-07 21:55
BetMGM🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.12%E -5.14%K -32.20%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-08 01:00
Pinnacle🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 79.00%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.05%G +0.000%	4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -3.11%E -0.678%K -0.867%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 00:55
picklebet_au🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.05%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:05
Neds🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-07 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-07 16:00
888sport🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 16:15
Coral🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-07 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.27%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-07 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
BetRivers🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
Unibet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
betPARX🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-08 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:45
TABtouch🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.17%E -1.75%K -9.06%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.23%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-08 01:00
TAB🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.05%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.23%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 01:00
Caesars🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -2.96%E -2.41%K -12.88%G +0.000%	4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -9.66%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-08 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-08 00:45
Betsson🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.12%E -5.14%K -32.20%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-07 22:05
NordicBet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.12%E -5.14%K -32.20%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-08 00:00
Bovada🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.96%E -2.41%K -12.88%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-08 00:59
Everygame🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.05%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.35%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-08 00:57
BoyleSports🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-07 14:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.24I 80.65%NM 81.18%	5.35I 18.69%NM 18.82%	-0.7%	2026-11-08 00:59
Kalshi◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%	4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%	1.0%	2026-11-08 01:00
Polymarket◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%	4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%	2.3%	2026-11-08 01:00
ProphetX◎	1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%	2.4%	2026-11-08 01:00
Novig◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 80.26%	4.88I 20.49%NM 19.74%	3.8%	2026-11-08 01:00

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