Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 59.34%; Iowa State Cyclones (Visit): 40.66%. For Iowa State Cyclones (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.66%E +0.665%K +1.11%G +0.018% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.02%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.66%E +0.665%K +1.11%G +0.018% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.849%E +0.342%K +0.574%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.849%E +0.342%K +0.574%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV +0.036%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV +0.036%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.371%E -0.151%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.371%E -0.151%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -1.18%E -0.487%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.18%E -0.487%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.18%E -0.487%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.18%E -0.487%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-13 22:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.22%E -6.02%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.22%E -6.02%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -8.10%E -3.58%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 22:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 21:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -10.94%E -5.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-13 22:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.28% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.72% | -0.2% | 2026-03-13 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 2.3% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78% | 2.7% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |