La escuela de los momios

Arizona Wildcats v Iowa State Cyclones

Inicio: 2026-03-13 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Predicción 59.34%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.18%59.50%59.30%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.591.6565.36%63.01%62.89%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Iowa State Cyclones (Visitante)

Predicción 40.66%2.46momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.665%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%40.50%40.70%42.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.192.352.332.5045.66%42.53%42.92%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.66%E +0.665%K +1.11%G +0.018%3.7%2026-03-13 22:55
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.22%E -6.02%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.66%E +0.665%K +1.11%G +0.018%5.4%2026-03-13 22:39
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.849%E +0.342%K +0.574%G +0.005%2.8%2026-03-13 22:45
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.849%E +0.342%K +0.574%G +0.005%2.8%2026-03-13 22:45
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV +0.036%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 22:39
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV +0.036%E +0.014%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 22:55
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.371%E -0.151%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 21:44
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.371%E -0.151%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-13 22:54
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -1.18%E -0.487%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 22:55
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.18%E -0.487%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.18%E -0.487%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 22:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -1.18%E -0.487%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 22:50
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 22:24
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 22:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.40%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 22:40
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 22:55
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.10%E -1.27%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-13 22:59
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 22:34
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 22:55
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 22:34
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.84%E -2.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 22:35
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 22:54
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 23:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:55
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 23:00
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 23:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 22:04
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 22:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 22:50
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 23:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.22%E -6.02%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.22%E -6.02%K -17.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 23:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.28%E -3.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 22:50
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -8.10%E -3.58%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:54
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 22:59
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 21:53
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 21:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 22:49
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.25%E -3.96%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 22:50
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -10.94%E -5.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 22:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 59.28%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.72%-0.2%2026-03-13 22:59
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-03-13 22:55
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-03-13 23:00
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-03-13 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-03-13 23:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%2.7%2026-03-13 23:00