Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local)

Prediction 64.45%1.55fair odd

EV +0.544%

Edge +0.349%

Kelly +0.971%

Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.04%64.51%64.24%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.461.461.5673.53%68.59%68.26%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 35.55%2.81fair odd

EV +4.87%

Edge +1.65%

Kelly +2.50%

Growth +0.122%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.87%35.49%35.76%37.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.682.702.9540.00%37.32%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local): 64.45%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 35.55%. For Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -11.06%E -8.01%K -29.10%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +4.87%E +1.65%K +2.50%G +0.122%	6.4%	2026-03-07 23:34
betPARX🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -11.06%E -8.01%K -29.10%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +4.87%E +1.65%K +2.50%G +0.122%	6.4%	2026-03-07 23:34
TABtouch🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.35%E -9.08%K -34.30%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.09%E +1.07%K +1.63%G +0.050%	8.0%	2026-03-07 23:34
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.31%E +0.461%K +0.710%G +0.009%	5.0%	2026-03-07 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.463%E -0.165%K -0.257%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-07 23:34
Svenska Spel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.463%E -0.165%K -0.257%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-07 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.463%E -0.165%K -0.257%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-07 23:34
BetMGM🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.34%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-07 23:34
DraftKings🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-07 23:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.19%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-07 23:34
Virgin Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.19%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-07 23:34
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.19%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-07 23:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.19%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-07 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.68%E -1.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-07 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.68%E -1.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-07 23:35
BetUS🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-07 23:29
Everygame🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-07 23:29
Caesars🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.97%E -2.66%K -8.10%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-07 23:32
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-07 23:33
BetRivers🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.12%E -6.47%K -22.25%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-07 23:34
LeoVegas🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.77%E -6.98%K -24.42%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-03-07 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.77%E -6.98%K -24.42%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-03-07 23:34
theScore Bet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.68%E -1.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-07 23:33
Bet Right🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-07 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-07 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-07 23:34
Neds🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-07 23:34
FanDuel🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.15%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-07 23:34
TAB🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-07 23:34
Fanatics🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-07 23:34
Fliff🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.55%E -4.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-07 23:30
BoyleSports🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.34%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-07 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -8.28%E -3.21%K -5.24%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-07 23:30
SportsBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -8.64%E -3.36%K -5.50%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-07 23:34
Bovada🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.544%E +0.349%K +0.971%G +0.005%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-07 23:33
PlayUp🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-07 23:29
NordicBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-07 23:29
Betsson🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-07 23:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -0.101%E -0.065%K -0.183%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -9.71%E -3.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-07 23:29
William Hill🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-07 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.34%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-07 23:34
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.34%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-07 23:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%	2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%	0.1%	2026-03-07 23:29
Novig◎	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%	4.7%	2026-03-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%	11.0%	2026-03-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%	11.0%	2026-03-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 62.30%	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%	11.5%	2026-03-07 23:34