La escuela de los momios

Appalachian St Mountaineers v Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Inicio: 2026-03-07 23:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Appalachian St Mountaineers (Local)

Predicción 64.45%1.55momio equitativo
EV +0.544%
Ventaja +0.349%
Kelly +0.971%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.04%64.51%64.24%68.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.461.461.5673.53%68.59%68.26%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visitante)

Predicción 35.55%2.81momio equitativo
EV +4.87%
Ventaja +1.65%
Kelly +2.50%
Crecimiento +0.122%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.87%35.49%35.76%37.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.9540.00%37.32%37.04%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -11.06%E -8.01%K -29.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +4.87%E +1.65%K +2.50%G +0.122%6.4%2026-03-07 23:34
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -11.06%E -8.01%K -29.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +4.87%E +1.65%K +2.50%G +0.122%6.4%2026-03-07 23:34
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -12.35%E -9.08%K -34.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +3.09%E +1.07%K +1.63%G +0.050%8.0%2026-03-07 23:34
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.31%E +0.461%K +0.710%G +0.009%5.0%2026-03-07 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.463%E -0.165%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:34
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.463%E -0.165%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:34
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -0.463%E -0.165%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:34
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:34
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.83%E -5.48%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 23:34
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:34
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:34
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:34
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.48%E -5.97%K -20.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.24%E -0.815%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:34
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.68%E -1.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 23:35
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.68%E -1.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 23:35
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 23:29
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 23:29
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.97%E -2.66%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:32
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 23:33
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.12%E -6.47%K -22.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:34
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.77%E -6.98%K -24.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.77%E -6.98%K -24.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.02%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 23:34
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.68%E -1.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 23:33
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:34
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.80%E -2.19%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:34
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -6.15%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 23:34
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:34
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:34
Fliff1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.55%E -4.51%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 23:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.57%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 23:29
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -5.90%E -4.04%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -8.28%E -3.21%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 23:30
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -8.64%E -3.36%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:34
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.544%E +0.349%K +0.971%G +0.005%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 23:33
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.61%E -3.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 23:29
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:29
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.35%E -3.67%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:29
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -0.101%E -0.065%K -0.183%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -9.71%E -3.82%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 23:29
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.32%E -2.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 23:34
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.19%E -4.99%K -16.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.13%E -4.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 23:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.66%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.34%0.1%2026-03-07 23:29
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%4.7%2026-03-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%11.0%2026-03-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.14%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%11.0%2026-03-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.30%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%11.5%2026-03-07 23:34