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Alabama Crimson Tide v Texas Tech Red Raiders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
Prediction 51.81%1.93fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.81%51.70%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.8957.14%54.62%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)
Prediction 48.19%2.08fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.594%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%48.19%48.30%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.19%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 51.81%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 48.19%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.07%E -1.10%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.48%E -3.90%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 01:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 01:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.63%E -1.95%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.22%E -0.594%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-23 01:57 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.59%E -2.32%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 01:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.85%E -5.87%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-23 00:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.66%E -2.53%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 01:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 01:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 01:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 02:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 02:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:53 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 02:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 01:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.82%E -6.46%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.22%E -0.594%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.22%E -0.594%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 02:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.48%E -3.90%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.48%E -3.90%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.44%E -4.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.29%E -4.68%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 01:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-23 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-23 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 02:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 01:56 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-23 02:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.1% | 2026-03-23 02:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.4% | 2026-03-23 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-03-23 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08% | 10.1% | 2026-03-23 02:05 |