La escuela de los momios

Alabama Crimson Tide v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Inicio: 2026-03-23 02:08 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Predicción 51.81%1.93momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.81%51.70%53.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.831.831.8957.14%54.62%54.64%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visitante)

Predicción 48.19%2.08momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.594%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%48.19%48.30%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.19%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.07%E -1.10%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.48%E -3.90%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 01:30
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 02:00
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 01:48
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 01:44
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.11%E -1.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 01:24
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.63%E -1.95%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.22%E -0.594%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-23 01:57
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 01:40
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.59%E -2.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 01:45
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 01:55
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 01:54
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 01:55
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 01:54
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 01:54
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 01:54
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 01:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.15%E -2.24%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.85%E -5.87%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-23 00:44
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.66%E -2.53%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 01:55
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 01:44
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 01:24
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 01:59
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.63%E -1.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 02:04
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.55%E -2.83%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 02:04
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:54
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:54
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:53
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 01:54
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 02:04
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.52%E -3.36%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 01:54
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 01:50
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.83%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.82%E -6.46%K -14.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-23 00:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 01:54
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.00%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 01:54
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.70%E -3.13%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 01:55
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.22%E -0.594%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 02:04
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.22%E -0.594%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 02:04
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 01:39
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.48%E -3.90%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 01:39
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.48%E -3.90%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 01:39
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.74%E -3.74%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.44%E -4.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-23 02:05
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -8.29%E -4.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -5.07%E -2.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-23 01:44
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-23 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.19%EV -9.33%E -5.33%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.96%E -4.17%K -8.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-23 01:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-23 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-23 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-03-23 02:04
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-23 01:56
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-23 02:04
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-03-23 02:05
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-03-23 02:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-03-23 02:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%10.1%2026-03-23 02:05