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Alabama Crimson Tide v Ole Miss Rebels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)
Prediction 86.57%1.16fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -9.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%86.33%86.52%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.90%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ole Miss Rebels (Visit)
Prediction 13.43%7.45fair odd
EV +7.44%
Edge +0.930%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.67%13.48%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.506.708.0018.18%15.38%14.93%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 86.57%; Ole Miss Rebels (Visit): 13.43%. For Ole Miss Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.45. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.44%E +0.930%K +1.06%G +0.079% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.726%E +0.097%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.726%E +0.097%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.726%E +0.097%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -1.02%E -0.138%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -1.02%E -0.138%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -1.96%E -0.268%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -2.63%E -0.363%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -2.63%E -0.363%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -2.63%E -0.363%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 20:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 22:43 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 20:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -3.04%E -2.72%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -6.66%E -0.958%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -7.33%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -7.33%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.35%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.35%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -10.69%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -16.06%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -16.06%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.04%E -2.72%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -16.73%E -2.70%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.42%E -3.24%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.04%E -2.72%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -22.78%E -3.96%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -26.13%E -4.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -26.13%E -4.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.18%E -1.93%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -26.13%E -4.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.18%E -1.93%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -26.13%E -4.75%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 22:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.71% | 8.88I 11.26%NM 11.29% | -0.2% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.71% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.29% | 0.3% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.21% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.79% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 18:53 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |