A Escola das Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide v Ole Miss Rebels

Início: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Previsão 86.57%1.16odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -9.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.83%86.33%86.52%88.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.081.111.111.1492.59%89.90%90.09%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ole Miss Rebels (Visitante)

Previsão 13.43%7.45odd justa
EV +7.44%
Vantagem +0.930%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.079%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.89%13.67%13.48%17.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.506.708.0018.18%15.38%14.93%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.44%E +0.930%K +1.06%G +0.079%5.1%2026-03-13 22:45
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.726%E +0.097%K +0.112%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-13 20:50
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.726%E +0.097%K +0.112%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-13 22:44
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.726%E +0.097%K +0.112%G +0.001%4.2%2026-03-13 22:45
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -1.02%E -0.138%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 22:45
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -1.02%E -0.138%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 22:45
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -1.96%E -0.268%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 22:45
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -2.63%E -0.363%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -2.63%E -0.363%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 20:50
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -2.63%E -0.363%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 20:49
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 20:55
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 22:43
Everygame1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 20:49
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 20:50
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.99%E -0.856%K -0.998%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 22:49
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -3.04%E -2.72%K -25.35%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -6.66%E -0.958%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 22:55
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -7.33%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 22:25
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -7.33%E -1.06%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 22:50
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.35%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 20:55
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.35%E -1.38%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 20:55
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 85.92%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.08%EV -10.69%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:45
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.77%E -4.34%K -47.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 22:35
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.50%E -6.02%K -81.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -12.70%E -1.95%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 22:54
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -16.06%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 20:55
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.64%E -5.17%K -62.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -16.06%E -2.57%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 20:55
TAB1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -3.04%E -2.72%K -25.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -16.73%E -2.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 21:24
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.91%E -3.52%K -35.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -19.42%E -3.24%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 21:55
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.04%E -2.72%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -22.78%E -3.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 22:10
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:34
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:35
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:35
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:34
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:35
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:35
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:34
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -24.79%E -4.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 22:35
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -26.13%E -4.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 22:34
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -1.31%E -1.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -26.13%E -4.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.18%E -1.93%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -26.13%E -4.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 22:34
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.18%E -1.93%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -26.13%E -4.75%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 22:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.13I 88.50%NM 88.71%8.88I 11.26%NM 11.29%-0.2%2026-03-13 22:54
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 86.71%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.29%0.3%2026-03-13 22:45
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-13 22:15
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.21%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.79%0.9%2026-03-13 22:54
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-13 18:53
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-03-13 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-03-13 22:50