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Abilene Christian Wildcats v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

2026-11-12 01:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 38.87%2.57fair odd
EV +3.00%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.82%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%38.67%38.99%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.6543.48%40.91%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 61.13%1.64fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -7.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.33%61.01%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.531.5766.67%65.06%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local): 38.87%; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit): 61.13%. For Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.65, producing a positive expected value of +3.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +3.00%E +1.13%K +1.82%G +0.054%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.69%E -5.09%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-11 06:39
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-11 03:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-11 06:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-11 03:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-11 03:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-11 03:35
Bet Right🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 06:45
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 03:35
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 03:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 06:05
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:05
ReBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.17%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 04:00
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-11 03:12
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-11 03:09
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-11 03:10
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 03:35
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 03:35
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.69%E -5.09%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-11 07:20
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-11 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-11 03:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-11-11 06:39
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-11-11 07:30
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-11-11 06:30
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-11-11 07:20
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%4.6%2026-11-11 07:30

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