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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Abilene Christian Wildcats v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

2026-11-12 01:00 UTC — NCAAB

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Abilene Christian Wildcats (主队)

预测 38.87%2.57公平赔率
EV +3.00%
优势 +1.13%
Kelly +1.82%
增长率 +0.054%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.30%38.67%38.99%39.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.442.452.6543.48%40.91%40.82%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (客队)

预测 61.13%1.64公平赔率
EV -4.02%
优势 -2.56%
Kelly -7.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
60.05%61.33%61.01%63.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.541.531.5766.67%65.06%65.36%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Abilene Christian Wildcats (主队)：38.87%；Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (客队)：61.13%。 对于“Abilene Christian Wildcats (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.57。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.65，由此产生+3.00%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +3.00%E +1.13%K +1.82%G +0.054%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.69%E -5.09%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-11 06:39
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.63%E -2.97%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-11 03:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-11 06:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-11 03:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-11 03:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.30%E -5.53%K -16.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-11 03:35
Bet Right🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.61%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 06:45
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 03:35
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 03:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-11 06:05
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.78%E -1.95%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.24%E -3.38%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:05
ReBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.17%E -2.12%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.85%E -3.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 04:00
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -5.94%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-11 03:12
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-11 03:09
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.02%E -2.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-11 03:10
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 03:35
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 03:35
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.72%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.69%E -5.09%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-11 07:20
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-11 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.61%E -4.61%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.47%E -4.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-11 03:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-11-11 06:39
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-11-11 07:30
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-11-11 06:30
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-11-11 07:20
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%4.6%2026-11-11 07:30

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