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Abilene Christian Wildcats v Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 74.70%1.34fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -9.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.65%74.60%74.80%75.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3081.30%78.35%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit)
Prediction 25.30%3.95fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.303%
Kelly +0.404%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%25.40%25.20%27.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.754.0029.41%26.91%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abilene Christian Wildcats (Local): 74.70%; Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit): 25.30%. For Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.21%E +0.303%K +0.404%G +0.005% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +0.201%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +0.201%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.053%E -0.013%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -1.57%E -0.404%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.58%E -0.671%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.58%E -0.671%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:31 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.58%E -0.671%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -8.12%E -6.60%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -2.84%E -0.739%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.14%E -4.04%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.85%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.38%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.64%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.91%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 19:48 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.91%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.88%E -4.67%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.91%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.91%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.44%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.64%E -2.82%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.44%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.44%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.63%E -5.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.44%E -3.27%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -2.89%E -2.23%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -12.20%E -3.52%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -13.97%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.39%E -3.43%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -13.97%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.74% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 24.26% | 0.0% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.38% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.62% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |